In the video above from CNBC, Dan Senor claims Israel is now the most important geopolitical power in the Middle East. The question in my mind is whether Israel as Regional Hegemon would be best for the people of the Middle East. In this post, I use the MEA_L20 and the IL_L20 models to test the conjecture.
Notes
State Space models of the Middle East in the R-programming language can be found here. Instructions for stabilizing each system are in the code.
Hegemonic Dominance AIC Statistics
