State Space Models

All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here with instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here.

Tuesday, August 26, 2025

World-System (1950-2100) How to Balance the World System.


 In an earlier post (here), I found that the US-MX-CA Trading System could reach Steady State in a number of ways. For a number of reasons, this fictional future is controversial: (1) As long as population growth and technological change continue to increase, the Neoclassical Economic Growth model will never reach equilibrium (unlimited growth forever), (2) in World-Systems Theory, although we live in a World of interacting economic systems, because there is no World Government, there is no World System** and (3) the IPCC Emission Scenarios (see the Boiler Plate and the BAU Scenario) envisions a scenario of the World-System in a Steady State, industrialization seems inconsistent with environmental balance.




Notes

** In World-Systems Theory, the hyphen between "World" and "System" indicates a world of systems. The term "World System" indicates a one-world system. The World System is typically used by the IPCC in Integrated Assessment Models (IAMS). The Contradiction here is that there is no World Government to manage environmental degradation.


No comments:

Post a Comment